Tough T206 Polar Bears??? Certainly!!!

A Guest Blog Article from Fellow T206 Junkie Scott Gross

First off, I’d like to thank Luke for allowing me to write this brief article as part of his great new T206 blog.  We are both T206 fanatics, and enjoy all aspects of this fantastic set.  There is always something new to learn, especially when it comes to advertising backs.

As far as basic adverting back rarity goes, even the newest collector knows Piedmont and Sweet Caporal backs are the most common.  Of course, there are some exceptions, and “exceptions” are some of the most interesting aspects of T206 collecting.  Next up on the back list, most would say Polar Bear is the most common.

Polar Bear cards were distributed uniquely in the T206 world in packs of loose tobacco.  Therefore, many cards have very distinct tobacco stains.  They were first distributed in early 1910 as part of the second round of T206 printings, known by many as Print Group 2.

OK, now to the gist of this article:  Are all Polar Bear subjects as common as thought?  Most are.  But this means some are not!

Subjects printed in Print Group 2, mentioned above (350 Subjects Only) and Print Group 3 (350-460 Subjects) are relatively common.  However, subjects released in Print Group 4 (460 only) can be quite tough to find.  460 Only printing was in early 1911.  My theory is that this was when Polar Bear brand was slowing down and/or ending their affiliation with T206 cards.

Now for some numbers.  There were only 46 new cards added in the 460 Only printing: 39 common players, and 7 Hall of Famers.  As an aside, a disproportional number (15) were NY Giants.  That would make sense, as the Giants were the popular team of the day.

Here is a list of the 460 Only, along with the number of Polar Bear cards graded by PSA (using PSA populations as a relative example of distribution):

 

Abbaticchio, Ed (Blue Sleeves) 16
Ball, Neal (Cleveland) 12
Bell, George (Follow Thru) 11
Bergen, Bill (Catching) 11
Bescher, Bob (Hands In Air) 14
Bridwell, Al (Portrait – With Cap) 15
Camnitz, Howie (Arm At Side) 8
Camnitz, Howie (Hands Above Head) 10
Crandall, Doc (Portrait With Cap) 13
DeVore, Josh 11
Doyle, Larry (Portrait) 7
Ford, Russ 11
Frill, John 13
Gandil, Chick 19
Geyer, Rube 10
Herzog, Buck (Boston) 16
Howell, Harry (Hand At Waist) 9
Hummel, John 18
Lake, Joe (St. Louis – Ball In Hand) 15
Latham, Arlie 26
Merkle, Fred (Throwing) 18
Meyers, Chief 20
Murray, Red (Portrait) 10
Needham, Tom 13
Oldring, Rube (Batting) 9
Overall, Orval (Hands Waist Level) 10
Payne, Fred 14
Pfeffer, Francis 8
Schaefer, Germany (Washington) 18
Schlei, Admiral (Batting) 19
Schlei, Admiral (Portrait) 20
Schulte, Wildfire (Back View) 7
Seymour, Cy (Portrait) 25
Sheckard, Jimmy (Glove Showing) 10
Smith, Happy 15
Stovall, George (Batting) 13
Tannehill, Lee (Tannehill On Front) 15
Wiltse, Hooks (Portrait – With Cap) 23
 
Chase, Hal (Holding Trophy) 29
Chance, Frank (Batting) 15
Duffy, Hugh 17
Marquard, Rube (Pitching) 30
McGraw, John (Glove At Hip) 24
McGraw, John (Portrait – With Cap) 17
Tinker, Joe (Bat On Shoulder) 17
Wheat, Zack 21

Looking at only the common players (excluding Chase, who will be discussed later), the average number is 14.  Now, there are some players with noticeably higher numbers.  But notice which ones: NY Giants (Latham, Merkle, Meyers, Schlei, Seymour, Wiltse).  Once again, due to the popularity of these players, they may have been relatively over-printed. If you remove these Giants, the average would drop to about 12.

In order to get these numbers to make sense, we have to look at Polar Bear card populations from the 350 Only and 350-460 printings.  What I have done is select a random number of these Polar Bears cards.  Actually they are the ones I have in my collection.  The average population of 45 of these non-460 Only cards is 21.

If I could find my Stats book from college long ago, I could do some statistical analysis on these numbers.  But I’ll let them stand as is, and speak for themselves.  The 460 Only average is 14 versus Non-460 Only at 21. I’ll conclude that 460 Only Polar Bear cards are tougher to come by.

In fact, there are some of Polar Bears being as tough to find as corresponding Tolstoi backs:

Player                                                                                                Polar Bear    Tolstoi
Camnitz, Howie (Arm At Side) 8 6
DeVore, Josh 11 14
Doyle, Larry (Portrait) 7 8
Howell, Harry (Hand At Waist) 9 8
Pfeffer, Francis 8 9
Schulte, Wildfire (Back View) 7 7
Sheckard, Jimmy (Glove Showing) 10 12
Tannehill, Lee (Tannehill On Front) 15 19

Next up: Prince Hal Chase.  Although Chase is not in the Hall of Fame (a definite candidate, but too much gambling baggage), he was arguably one of the most popular players of the time.  He has 5 T206s.  Of the five cards, no Polar Bears were printed with his Pink Portrait or White Cap cards.  Looking at his Polar Bear cards, there is a notable drop in his 460 Only Holding Trophy:

Blue Portrait – 56
Dark Cap – 40

Holding Trophy – 29

Finally, Hall of Fame Polar Bear 460 Only.  Now, with these HOFs, there appears to be a substantial decrease in the number of Polar Bears.

Chance, Frank (Batting) 15
Duffy, Hugh 17
Marquard, Rube (Pitching) 30
McGraw, John (Glove At Hip) 24
McGraw, John (Portrait – With Cap) 17
Tinker, Joe (Bat On Shoulder) 17
Wheat, Zack 21

Average: 20

Compare this to my Non-460 Only HOFs with Polar Bear Backs (which, I think, is a nice, random group):

Jimmy Collins (Minneapolis) 25
Rube Marquard (Pitching Follow Through) 29
Hughie Jennings (Both Hands Showing) 31
Joe Tinker (Bat Off Shoulder) 42
Johnny Evers (With Bat Chicago On Shirt) 49
Hughie Jennings (One Hand Showing) 54
Mordecai Brown (Chicago On Shirt) 56
Ty Cobb (Bat Off Shoulder) 63
Cy Young (Cleveland) (Glove Shows) 67
Walter Johnson (Pitching) 73
Frank Chance (Portrait Yellow Background) 80

 Average: 52

Once again, quite notable that 460 Only Polar Bears (avg. 20) are rarer than Non-460s (avg. 52).  Also, many are comparable to corresponding Tolstoi difficulty when it comes to tracking them down:

Player                                                                                                Polar Bear    Tolstoi
Chance, Frank (Batting) 15 11
Duffy, Hugh 17 17
McGraw, John (Portrait – With Cap) 17 25
Wheat, Zack 21 19

So next time you run across a “common” Polar Bear, double-check if it’s a 460 Only print. It may not be as “common” as you think!

Written by Scott Gross

*thank you as always to the folks at T206resource.com for sharing their spreadsheets with us, and all T206 collectors